Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.558885 1.640774 1.725334 1.819336 1.921105 2.028170 2.149595
2026-02-08 1.376676 1.489693 1.611318 1.752572 1.912916 2.090230 2.302474
2026-02-15 1.263822 1.396519 1.543908 1.721065 1.929984 2.170766 2.472591
2026-02-22 1.189384 1.336824 1.504894 1.712800 1.966113 2.268828 2.664389
2026-03-01 1.120499 1.276644 1.458397 1.688581 1.976777 2.331959 2.813202
2026-03-08 1.041456 1.198611 1.384413 1.623951 1.930181 2.316769 2.855884
2026-03-15 1.000874 1.164009 1.360043 1.617557 1.954191 2.390382 3.018354
2026-03-22 0.989626 1.164035 1.377360 1.663449 2.046880 2.558660 3.323228
2026-03-29 0.960076 1.139269 1.361505 1.664465 2.078713 2.645149 3.517824
2026-04-05 0.937366 1.121776 1.353561 1.674627 2.122381 2.749625 3.746810
2026-04-12 0.909469 1.096192 1.333560 1.666880 2.139726 2.816309 3.922491
2026-04-19 0.880336 1.067706 1.308272 1.650179 2.142634 2.860869 4.065674
2026-04-26 0.843137 1.029192 1.270540 1.617907 2.126310 2.883076 4.188329
2026-05-03 0.800255 0.981940 1.219597 1.565185 2.077709 2.853671 4.223895
2026-05-10 0.770034 0.950525 1.188904 1.539710 2.068079 2.884275 4.366906
2026-05-17 0.748531 0.929966 1.172104 1.533117 2.086208 2.959973 4.599021
2026-05-24 0.723921 0.904203 1.146892 1.512691 2.081226 2.996749 4.762767
2026-05-31 0.689578 0.863957 1.099875 1.457722 2.018587 2.932004 4.723586
2026-06-07 0.673165 0.847930 1.086448 1.452287 2.034273 3.001407 4.956591
2026-06-14 0.671558 0.852332 1.102123 1.491389 2.124077 3.206984 5.497577
2026-06-21 0.658559 0.840204 1.093357 1.492257 2.150486 3.301164 5.817092
2026-06-28 0.648545 0.831930 1.089804 1.500903 2.190237 3.422954 6.217970
2026-07-05 0.634771 0.817818 1.077080 1.494312 2.203177 3.494860 6.514769